Problem #PRU-66047

Problems Probability and statistics Probability theory

Problem

There were 50 white and black crows sitting on a birch, and the number of black crows was not less than the number of whites. On the oak, there too were white and black crows, and there were 50 of them in total. On the oak, the number of black crows was also not less than the number of white ones. It could be that there was the same number of black and white crows, or maybe even there was one black crow less than white crows. One random crow flew from the birch to the oak, and after a while another random crow (maybe the same one) flew from the oak to the birch. Which is more probable: that the number of white crows on the birch is the same as it was at first, or that it has changed?