Problem
Some doctors make a new test for the disease ‘mathematitis’ which is
even better. This new test is accurate - meaning that of the time when someone has the
disease, the test will say so. And when someone doesn’t have the
disease, of the time the
test will say that they don’t have it.
Paul goes to the doctor and test positive for mathematitis. What’s
the chance he actually has mathematitis? Recall that of the population has
mathematitis.