A fly crawls along a grid from the origin. The fly moves only along the lines of the integer grid to the right or upwards (monotonic wandering). In each node of the net, the fly randomly selects the direction of further movement: upwards or to the right. Find the probability that at some point:
a) the fly will be at the point \((8, 10)\);
b) the fly will be at the point \((8, 10)\), along the line passing along the segment connecting the points \((5, 6)\) and \((6, 6)\);
c) the fly will be at the point \((8, 10)\), passing inside a circle of radius 3 with center at point \((4, 5)\).
In a numerical set of \(n\) numbers, one of the numbers is 0 and another is 1.
a) What is the smallest possible variance of such a set of numbers?
b) What should be the set of numbers for this?
The television game “What? Where? When?” consists of a team of “experts” trying to solve 13 questions that are thought up and sent in by the viewers of the programme. Envelopes with the questions are selected in turn in random order with the help of a spinning top with an arrow. If the experts answer correctly, they earn a point, and if they answer incorrectly, the viewers get one point. The game ends as soon as one of the teams scores 6 points. The probability of the team of experts winning in one round is 0.6 and there can be no draws. Currently, the experts are losing 3 to 4. Find the probability that the experts will still win.
In the set \(-5\), \(-4\), \(-3\), \(-2\), \(-1\), \(0\), \(1\), \(2\), \(3\), \(4\), \(5\), replace one number with two other integers so that the set variance and its mean remain unchanged.
Alice has six magic pies in her pocket: two magnifying pies (if you eat it, you will grow), and two reducing pies (if you eat it, you will shrink). When Alice met Mary Ann, she, without looking, took out three pies from her pocket and gave them to Mary Ann. Find the probability that one of the girls does not have any magnifying pies.
Prince Charming, and another 49 men and 50 women are randomly seated around a round table. Let’s call a man satisfied, if a woman is sitting next to him. Find:
a) the probability that Prince Charming is satisfied;
b) the mathematical expectation of the number of satisfied men.
In Anchuria, there is a single state examination. The probability of guessing the correct answer to each exam question is 0.25. In 2011, in order to obtain a certificate, it was necessary to answer correctly to 3 questions out of 20. In 2012, the Anchuria School of Management decided that 3 questions were not enough. Now you need to correctly answer 6 questions out of 40. It is asked, if you do not know anything but just guess the answers, in what year is the probability of obtaining an Anchurian certificate higher: in 2011 or 2012?
An ant goes out of the origin along a line and makes \(a\) steps of one unit to the right, \(b\) steps of one unit to the left in some order, where \(a > b\). The wandering span of the ant is the difference between the largest and smallest coordinates of the ant for the entire length of its journey.
a) Find the largest possible wandering range.
b) Find the smallest possible range.
c) How many different sequences of motion of the ant are there, where the wandering range is the greatest possible?
We will assume that the birth of a girl and a boy is equally probable. It is known that in some family there are two children.
a) What is the probability that one of them is a boy and one a girl?
b) Additionally, it is known that one of the children is a boy. What is the probability that there is one boy and one girl in the family now?
c) Additionally, it is known that the boy was born on a Monday. What is the probability that there is one boy and one girl in the family now?
The probability of the birth of twins in Cambria is \(p\), and no triplets are born in Cambria.
a) Evaluate the probability that a random Cambrian that one meets on the street is one of a pair of twins?
b) There are three children in a random Cambrian family. What is the probability that among them there is a pair of twins?
c) In Cambrian schools, twins must be enrolled in the same class. In total, there are \(N\) first-graders in Cambria.
What is the expectation of the number of pairs of twins among them?